CBAM Exposure Navigator · omarclimatefinance.com
· omarclimatefinance.com/cbam · Indicative, not legal or financial advice

Your compass through the EU carbon border.

A free, regulator-grounded calculator for exporters of cement, steel, aluminium, fertilisers and hydrogen across MENA and Africa. Built on Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2025/2621,every default value, every phase-in year, every country in Annex I.

Start the calculator See how it works
120Countries covered
12,500+CN-code rows
2025/2621Commission IR · Annex I
Three steps · Under a minute

A quick check first, then a full report when you want one.

The free quick-check gives you a defensible 2026 number using EU default values. The detailed report adds verified-MRV scenarios, an EUA price ladder, and a PDF you can send to your CFO.

01

Pick your country, product, volume

Drop-downs are filtered to what the EU actually publishes for your country in Annex I of IR 2025/2621. Long descriptions stay legible.

02

See your 2026 single-scenario cost

A defensible ballpark using the EU default emission factor, the 2026 phase-in factor, and a base €95 EUA scenario. Nothing inferred, nothing invented.

03

Unlock the 5-year trajectory + PDF

Verified MRV scenario, EUA price ladder, year-by-year cost from 2026 to 2034, cumulative MRV savings, and a four-page PDF report, sent to your inbox.

Step 1 · Quick check

Estimate your 2026 CBAM cost.

Free. No email. Country-product defaults from Commission IR 2025/2621. EUA Base €95 scenario.

Select an origin country.
Select a product category.
Select a CN code.
Whole tonnes per year. The combined 50 t/yr de-minimis threshold covers cement, steel, aluminium and fertilisers; hydrogen and electricity are excluded from the threshold (Article 2(3a)).
Enter a volume between 1 and 10,000,000 tonnes.
Step 2 · Unlock the full report

Instant access. No waiting.

Tell us who you are and we'll unlock the detailed calculator below right away, plus a four-page PDF you can download in one click and forward to your CFO, your sustainability team, or your auditor.

  • 5-year cost trajectory: 2026, 2027, 2028, 2030, 2034
  • Verified-MRV scenario vs EU default, and the gross savings
  • Low / Base / High EUA price ladder for sensitivity testing
  • Methodology, scope, and caveats you can audit

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You're in. The detailed calculator just unlocked below, set your scenario, generate the trajectory, and click Download PDF to get the four-page report.
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Step 3 · Detailed report

Five years, three scenarios, one PDF.

Add your verified emission factor (if you have one), set an EUA scenario, and we'll project your CBAM liability through 2034,including the savings if you switch from EU defaults to verified MRV.

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From your MRV report. Leave blank to use the EU default. Max three decimals.
Your verified value is higher than the EU default, please check the figure.
If your country runs a domestic ETS or carbon tax, enter the price actually paid per tCO₂. Credited against the EUA.
How the numbers are built

Methodology & assumptions.

Every number you see here is traceable to the EU regulatory baseline. No black box, no smoothing, no proprietary adjustments.

How it works

What we calculate

  • Your CBAM certificate cost = embedded emissions × CBAM phase-in factor × effective carbon price × volume.
  • The effective carbon price is the EUA scenario minus any origin carbon price you've already paid.
  • If you use the EU default emission factor, a small mark-up is added to incentivise verified MRV.
  • If you provide your own verified emission factor, no mark-up applies.
Schedule

CBAM phase-in & mark-up

The CBAM phase-in factor is the share of embedded emissions actually paid for, as EU free allowances are withdrawn from 2026 to 2034.

YearPhase-inDefault mark-up
20262.5%10%
20275.0%20%
202810.0%30%
203048.5%30%
2034100%30%

Fertilisers carry a 1% flat mark-up across all years (recital 6, IR 2025/2621).

Scope

What's in — and what isn't

  • Covered: cement, iron & steel, aluminium, fertilisers, hydrogen.
  • Direct emissions for all five categories.
  • Indirect emissions only for cement and fertilisers (plus iron ore agglomeration).
  • EUR-only for now. USD / GBP toggle planned for v2.
Data integrity

Country-product defaults

  • Extracted directly from the Commission's official Excel companion to IR 2025/2621.
  • Every named country in Annex I, plus the "Other countries and territories" global-default row.
  • Integrity tested on every refresh: spot checks, self-consistency on all numeric rows, source-file hash recorded.
  • Re-runnable pipeline, refreshes in minutes when the Commission publishes a revision.
Caveats

What this tool isn't

  • An indicative ballpark, not a CBAM declaration or an audit.
  • Not financial, tax, or legal advice.
  • It uses regulator-published defaults plus your inputs, it cannot reflect installation-level allocations or production-route nuances that real verified MRV captures.
  • EUA scenarios (€80 / €95 / €120) are user-defined sensitivity points, not a price forecast.
Regulatory baseline

Built on official text

  • Regulation (EU) 2023/956,the CBAM framework.
  • Regulation (EU) 2025/2083,Omnibus I, in force 20 October 2025.
  • Commission IR 2025/2621,default values, Annex I.
  • Updated whenever the Commission publishes a revision.
Beyond the ballpark

Want a producer-level read on your actual CBAM exposure?

The free calculator gives you a defensible number for a single product. A custom CBAM assessment takes the full picture, every installation, every CN code you ship, every MRV gap, and turns it into a board-ready memo with mitigation paths through Article 6 and the voluntary carbon markets.